Friday, December 08, 2023

Pivot Point

Guatemala is at the precipice. Will it take a step back? Can it?

If a pivot is indeed possible, these next few days are likely to be archetypally pivotal.
 
The internationally-influential ducks are all in a row now: the EU, the USA, the OEA...even the Vatican, and the repercussions for ignoring their pleas and warnings are taking more concrete shape.*
 
Yesterday the US Embassy here specifically predicted that anyone who might usurp the highest office in the land in an 'interim' capacity, would quickly be designated a non-person i.e. think of the de-banking of Farage, but on an intercontinental scale. 
 
There will be people for whom there can be no turning back now. The 'process' has become an end in itself for them. But will they hang on to the allies they need to make it happen, and to make it stick?
 
How many have been tagging along for the freebies, but when confronted by the real prospect of political, economic and societal devastation, perhaps lasting a generation, will pull up short?
 
* Unlike the others, the UK Ambassador Nick Whittingham has himself refused the hurdle of pointing the finger directly at the Ministerio Público, but he has made a few barbed comments on Twitter, particularly with regard to press freedom.

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