The narrative emerging from the powerful all around is becoming ever more consistent and strident and has three basic prongs...
- The worst is over
- Lockdown was probably overkill
- We certainly cannot afford continued suppression and mitigation is on final notice.
I find myself in a position of agnosticism as to the underlying truths behind these assertions.
Yet believing them to be self-evident is a form of belief like any other and the consequences of being only a little bit wrong — particularly if that belief is blinding one to the need to prepare to be wrong, just in case — could be deleterious indeed.